🏈 The Sports Card Index - Football
Liquidity Window: Last 7 Days
Market Type: Raw singles (ungraded)
Signal Discipline: Volume-first, execution-focused
📊 Market Snapshot
This market is in a single-player liquidity regime.
One rookie dominates both absolute volume and repeat-set confirmation, while the rest of the market fragments into:
- secondary rookies with thinner demand
- vintage legends with slower churn
- high-dollar SSPs that lock capital without improving liquidity
Index posture today:
➡️ Risk-on for fast churn
➡️ Risk-off for premium parallels and SSPs
This is not a “pick your favorite card” environment.
It’s a rotate efficiently or don’t rotate at all market.
🔍 What the Index Is Not Doing Today
- ❌ No premium rookie parallels added despite visibility
- ❌ No Downtown / SSP exposure regardless of brand strength
- ❌ No draft-pick-only QBs without repeat-set confirmation
- ❌ No vintage upgrades over modern churn leaders
Why this matters:
High volume alone is not enough.
Volume must be repeatable across sets at efficient price points.
🔥 Liquidity Leaders
The following names account for a disproportionate share of total market activity:
- Drake Maye (multiple sets, sustained)
- Caleb Williams (secondary base demand)
- Jerry Rice (stable vintage)
- Joe Montana (capital-heavy stability)
Only one of these currently qualifies as an Index Anchor.
⚠️ Capital Efficiency Check
Today’s market favors:
- $2–$10 entry points
- Base & widely distributed inserts
- Fast exit optionality
It penalizes:
- $250+ rookie parallels
- SSPs with <100 unit volume
- “Flex” cards that don’t improve turnover
If your capital is sitting still, it’s losing opportunity.
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